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According to Goodland and Anhang's paper, [b]which has not been peer-reviewed[/b], scientists have significantly underestimated emissions of methane expelled by livestock. They argue that the gas's impact should be calculated over 20 years, in line with its rapid effect – and the latest recommendation from the UN – rather than the 100 years favoured by Livestock's Long Shadow. This, they say, would add a further 5bn tons of CO2e to livestock emissions – 7.9 per cent of global emissions from all sources.
Plus it was posted elsewhere....
October 30, 2009
Methane’s impact on global warming far higher than previously thought
Mark Henderson, Science Editor
The effects of a critical greenhouse gas on global warming have been significantly underestimated, according to research suggesting that emissions controls and climate models may need to be revised
Methane’s impact on global temperatures is about a third higher than generally thought because previous estimates have not accounted for its interaction with airborne particles called aerosols, Nasa scientists found.
When this indirect effect of the potent greenhouse gas is included one tonne of methane has about 33 times as much effect on the climate over 100 years as a tonne of carbon dioxide, rather than 25 times as in standard estimates.
Drew Shindell, of the Nasa Goddard Institute for Space Studies in New York, who led the study, said that the findings added to the importance of measures to contain methane emissions, as well as those of carbon dioxide, which will be discussed at the Copenhagen climate summit in December.
As methane breaks down much more quickly than carbon dioxide, the impact of cuts on climate would also be faster. “For long-term climate change there’s no way around dealing with CO2 — it’s the biggest thing and it lasts hundreds of years,” Dr Shindell told The Times. “But if we were to have a concerted effort to deal with non-CO2 we could have a very large impact on the near term.
“Substantial reductions in methane, carbon monoxide and black carbon: that’s the way to make a big difference. I think it should be more of a priority [for Copenhagen].”
Dr Shindell’s results, published in the journal Science, also raise the possibility that global warming forecasts may be too optimistic. The most recent report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, published in 2007, predicts that global temperatures will rise by between 1.1C and 6.4C during the 21st century.
The study has further implications for emissions trading schemes, which currently focus only on carbon dioxide. For these to be effective the warming effects of methane need to be pegged to those of carbon dioxide at the right “exchange rate”.
Dr Shindell said: “We undervalue methane. The whole point of having a scale is to relate different gases together, to enlarge the pool of mitigation options. But if you’ve got the wrong value for one, clearly you don’t have maximum efficiency.”
The researchers wrote in Science: “We found that gas-aerosol interactions substantially alter the relative importance of the various emissions. In particular, methane emissions have a larger impact than that used in current carbon-trading schemes or in the Kyoto Protocol.”
The exchange rate between carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases is generally calculated according to global warming potential (GWP), which measures the effects of one tonne of a gas on warming over 100 years in comparison to one tonne of carbon dioxide.
Keith Shine, of the University of Reading, one of the originators of the GWP concept, said that Dr Shindell’s work would help to refine this. “It does change the picture quite significantly,” he said. “GWP is an exchange rate between different gases and this does potentially change the rate to make methane more valuable, giving more encouragement to reduce methane emissions.”
He said, however, that emissions controls should continue to focus chiefly on carbon dioxide. “The long-term effects of carbon dioxide are so strong that if you take the eye off the ball you will be storing up problems for the future.”
Methane is acknowledged as the second most important greenhouse gas produced by human activity after carbon dioxide and is responsible for about a fifth of warming effects. Its chief sources are landfill sites, fossil fuel energy and agriculture, particularly rice and livestock farming.
In the study Dr Shindell used computer models to investigate how methane, carbon monoxide and other greenhouse gases besides CO2 interacted with aerosols — airborne particles such as sulphate molecules.
Sulphate molecules, produced when sulphur dioxide is oxidised in the atmosphere, have a cooling effect on the climate as they reflect heat but, while their direct effects are included in climate models, their indirect effects in combination with methane and other gases are not.
Methane and carbon monoxide reduce levels of sulphate aerosols, because they use up oxidants such as hydroxyl in the atmosphere. Fewer oxidant molecules are thus available to oxidise sulphur dioxide to produce sulphate.
“What happens is that as you put more methane into the atmosphere, it competes for oxidants such as hydroxyl with sulphur dioxide,” Dr Shindell said. “More methane means less sulphate, which is reflective and thus has a cooling effect. Calculations of GWP including these gas-aerosol linkages thus substantially increase the value for methane.”
Chris Huntingford, of the Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, said: “This is an excellent analysis demonstrating that methane emissions have the potential to add more to future warming than hereto realised. This new research complements the well-established result that carbon dioxide emissions have been responsible for a large fraction of the global warming observed since pre-industrial times.
“There is a requirement to distil this more complete understanding of how the many different atmospheric gases interact, both between themselves and with humans. Policy decisions must account for such interactions and links to emissions of carbon dioxide, methane, and atmospheric aerosols.”
sandinista wrote:Study claims meat creates half of all greenhouse gases
http://www.independent.co.uk/environmen ... 12909.html
so...why is it that every second TV ad is about "green" cleaning products, "eco" cars, and other "earth friendly" products but no talk, at all, about the real culprit when it comes to the environment, the meat industry? Everyone talks about biking or public transport, recycling, composting, etc, but the fact is, the meat industry and meat consumption is causing most of the problems related to global warming and the destruction of the environment. Where is the mainstream media on this issue?
Generally climate articles go in one of three threads
But the spin on the article is way over the top...the media is not "all over it" as it's no big deal tho it is an important point.
It's a pack of vegetarians making things up to advance their agenda.
Study claims meat creates half of all greenhouse gases
Livestock causes far more climate damage than first thought, says a new report
By Martin Hickman, Consumer Affairs Correspondent
Justin Kerswell, campaign manager for the vegetarian group Viva!,
sandinista wrote:http://newstandardnews.net/content/index.cfm/items/3956
The UN, damn hippy vegetarians


They found that the difference between an heavy meat-eating diet and a vegan diet was about 2 tons of carbon dioxide equivalent per person per year. The difference between a Prius and an SUV (they used a Suburban, which gets about the same mileage as a Hummer) was 4.76 tons per year.
Pollan’s claim, said Eshel, “is emphatically wrong. If you’re looking at the mean American driving habits and eating habits, it’s not even close.”
Diet, Energy, and Global Warming
Gidon Eshel* and Pamela A. Martin
Department of the Geophysical Sciences, University of Chicago, Chicago, Illinois
Received 16 May 2005; Final form 12 December 2005
ABSTRACT: The energy consumption of animal- and plant-based diets and,
more broadly, the range of energetic planetary footprints spanned by reason-
able dietary choices are compared. It is demonstrated that the greenhouse gas
emissions of various diets vary by as much as the difference between owning
an average sedan versus a sport-utility vehicle under typical driving conditions.
The authors conclude with a brief review of the safety of plant-based diets, and
find no reasons for concern.
FightingFalcon wrote:Fine - people who eat meat and/or drive Hummers are assholes
Fighting Falcon wrote:The fact of the matter is that the Prius driver who eats hamburgers regularly is harming the environment more than a vegetarian Hummer driver. We have our priorities completely wrong.
Moncrief said educating consumers about their food choices is essential.
"We need to get organizations who are working on food-policy issues, like the UN and the USDA, to at least come out and say, ‘Here are the health benefits, here are the environmental benefits'" to reducing meat consumption, Moncrief said. "If we could get these governmental and quasi-governmental agencies to come out and say it, that would be a good first step."
Gidon Eshel, assistant professor of physical oceanography and climate and co-author of the University of Chicago report, echoed Moncrief’s concern.
Eshel told TNS: "It is probably not a bad idea to suggest unambiguously that if more people used less animal products in their diet than they do today, we [would] be able to sustain a larger number of people on earth for an indefinite period of time, or afford those who are here a better lifestyle."
Fact-Man wrote:However, I assume you included the environmental harm that's caused by grazing beefstock, fattening them up for market in vast feedlots, and shooting them full of growth hormones and antibiotics, which, if considered, makes your assertion a lot more true and a lot less false than MacDoc claims.
It appears he's right insofar as emissions are concerned but that's not the whole picture with beef, which require far more land resources to produce protein than do other crops.
The other problem with the Prius is in manufacturing the batteries they use.
I commend you for giving up beef.
More than quarter of all corn grown worldwide is fed to cattle, primarily in the United States. Each 1.2 pounds of corn-based feed translates into a quarter pound of marbled muscle tissue, which will be ground into hamburger. Growing all this corn takes resources: nitrogen fertilizers, gasoline and diesel to power the farm machinery, and irrigation water. Intensive corn agriculture also requires pesticides such as atrazine, a hormone-mimicking chemical that runs off fields and has been detected in water wells throughout the Midwest.
Raising one cow requires 35 gallons of oil. Most of this energy is used to produce synthetic fertilizers made from fossil fuels, and the rest is used for milling and transportation. One-fourth of all fertilizer used in the United States goes to grow corn fed to cattle and other livestock. One-fifth of the petroleum consumed in the United States goes to crop production and transportation. All told, the amount of energy that it takes to create a single quarter-pound hamburger patty equates to the energy in one cup of gasoline.
That quarter-pound hamburger also requires 600 gallons of water to produce, most of it to grow the corn feed and the rest to water the cattle and to cool down and reduce dust in the feedlots. Some 40 percent of all beef cattle in the United States are fattened on corn grow with water drawn from the dwindling Ogallala aquifer, an underground store of water lying under the states of Colorado, Kansas, Nebraska and Texas.
Small farms tend to recycle their manure as fertilizer, but large feedlots bulldoze manure into lagoons, where it slowly decomposes, posing a threat to water supplies. The high level of nutrients in manure can cause harmful algae blooms in surface waters and contaminate well water. These manure pounds also release methane, a greenhouse gas more potent than carbon dioxide. These emissions, combined with the carbon dioxide spewed from the tailpipes of farm machinery and the fertilizer plants, mean that a single quarter-pound burger creates about eight pounds of carbon dioxide, the same amount of greenhouse gases emitted on an eight-mile drive in an SUV.
Using a methodology that considers the entire commodity chain, it estimates that livestock are responsible for 18 percent of greenhouse gas emissions, a bigger share than that of transport.
Reverend Blair wrote:All meat is not created equal, either, Fighting Falcon. We buy local and the cattle are not corn fed, they just wander around a field in the summer eating grass. They get hay and some chop (crushed grain) in the winter. The manure is used to fertilize the pasture and hay the cattle live on. There are no chemical fertilizers involved. There is little transport as well. The guy we buy from gets the meat slaughtered locally.
The cost is about the same (maybe 5% percent higher) as you'd pay in a supermarket, but you load up the deep freeze once a year.
Even better are bison. They can forage even in the winter (cattle won't dig through snow) and their digestive systems produce less methane. Unfortunately I'm not rich enough to buy half a bison a year.

MacDoc wrote:Most farmers I know are capitalists.....responsible ones that make reponsible choices...tired argument FM -

Fact-Man wrote:MacDoc wrote:Most farmers I know are capitalists.....responsible ones that make reponsible choices...tired argument FM -
Well, perhaps you don't know enough American cattle ranchers.![]()
Most farmers I know are capitalists.....responsible ones that make reponsible choices...tired argument FM
I know a few who have managed to buck that trend by going organic or finding niche mark
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